It’s just about time for Time to name their Person of the Year for 2017. Who will it be this year? Emmanuel Macron, who was elected President of France in May, is favored over the field at –150 at Bovada. The 2016 Person of the Year, Donald Trump, is the second-favorite to repeat at +375, followed by currently unemployed quarterback Colin Kaepernick at +450.

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The Time Person of the Year goes to the person, place or thing, as decided by the magazine’s editors, that “wielded the most influence” over the past 12 months. It’s rare for anyone to be honored more than once, but it’s happened 14 times since this tradition began in 1927, and once in back-to-back years when Richard Nixon won in 1971-72. Trump would be a strong double-up candidate from a news standpoint, but his influence over US and global policy is in question, while Nixon was at the height of his powers.

Macron shocked Europe’s political establishment by winning the presidency under the En Marche! banner, a loose centrist party he formed in 2016. He is France’s youngest-ever president at age 39, but while he was popular during the election, his polling numbers have dropped off considerably since then.