It appears more and more likely that Hillary Clinton will be the next President of the United States. With the November 8 election approaching, Clinton’s odds continue to improve, all the way up to –500 at press time. Despite that surge, Donald Trump’s odds have also improved, from +375 to +300 over the past two weeks.
Trump’s mini-revival comes at the expense of the “Other” camp, which has seen its presidential odds plummet from +2000 to +6600. Both Gary Johnson (Libertarian) and Jill Stein (Green) have seen their credibility wane as potential “protest” votes, although Johnson still projects to receive about 5% of the popular vote, a big step up from 1% in 2012.
Given the events of the last few weeks, Clinton figures to have betting value at –500. But her victory isn’t assured; there may be more polling error than usual in this fractious campaign, and if Independent hopeful Evan McMullin wins Utah’s six electoral votes, it’s possible that none of the candidates will amass the required 270 votes in the Electoral College. That would force Congress to decide the next president. Anything could happen at that point – even a McMullin presidency.